Took multiple losses on GBPJPY as it ran through all the trend continuation setups, and the persistence of how it has done this move is something that gives us reason to re-assess trade plans, and be diligent on risks as well as opportunities the conditions we are now in may present.submitted by whatthefx to u/whatthefx [link] [comments]
I feel like I've seen this movie before. Usually when getting squeezed in a trend continuation, there are a few hits you have to take and then there is a big pay off. As a general rule, the better the move will be the harder it is to position for. So early losses on this were all within the acceptable margin of error in this strategy (I think I also made setup errors, which was bad. I can do better on that). After we ran some more setups (that looked fully valid at time of execution), I noped out. Stopped selling, and waited to see what happened.
Last time I remember being on the wrong side of such a fierce move of this form on GBPJPY was similar. Done well shorting, scalped some buys at a support, then reversed into the "correction" - and it went parabolic against me. I remember this well, because in the coming week there were news reports of the GBP having it's best day/week in a yeadecade (I forget specifics, but GBP was in the news for the rally). In the week after that, the high was made .... because that was when Brexit happened.
What happened there, from a charting perspective, is we went into a 2 week corrective cycle and then started another impulsive wave. If this happens we may see something spectacular in GBPJPY in the near term. This may feature a record breaking rally (or at least strong one) into 145, and even 155 (current price 130). From there, we may start a new trend taking the market into the large chart forecasts of 89 and 61.
I can retire if that happens. Absolutely. I'm going to plan, with various contingencies, for something like that possibly happening. In this post I''ll show what warnings signs we got over the last days as sellers. Where our main dangers will be as buyers. The levels as which we can be more sure buyers have won out in the short term, and also where the possible spikes low could come and how we'd trade them / what we'd do next.
I'll use MT4 charting for this analysis, since it will require a lot of different fibs and patterns assessment, I find fibs on MT4 quicker to work with than cTrader.
The Big Gartley Pattern
So the first thing we want to establish is where the buyers are coming from. Double bottom is accurate, but a bit vague. If we look closer, we can see the daily chart pinging off the 61.8 and 76 fib levels. This would be consistent with a Gartley pattern, and this would be a bullish reversal pattern (If successful). We have a couple probable scenarios here. One is a big break and move lower, and the other is a persistent move up in a small time frame trending chart form.
Let's look closer and see what the last days of trading have suggested to us about this.
Here is the 1 hour chart around the 76 level.
We've possibly formed the start of a second trend leg in the recent move up. Our best move here would be wait for a dip, buy into that and then run the trend upwards. We should see more strong moves like today, and these should be in nice structured form giving us easy entries and exits. This would be a good scenario for trading.
If a spike out is to form from this level, we'd now have it in a clear butterfly pattern. So we'd look for a 1.61 extension of this swing giving us a projected low of 125 area. This would be a harder move to trade. We either have to keep selling into the resistance levels and risk multiple small losses, or wait for momentum downwards and use breakout strategies. I feel method one has failed this week. We can perhaps look more at method two in a close under 128 (which will not happen if we are to trend).
As buyers, the possibility of this take out low move is our main danger. We have to be aware this can happen and it will be a fast move if it does. Risk control is important.
Bullish ScenariosFor now I am going to work on trade plans for if price remains above 128.50 and indicates bullish momentum. I want to work on targets and then reversal areas.
When we use the analysis above and consider we may be entering into big corrective leg, we can consider that this might be a 'ping swing' like move.
Remember the main characteristics of a ping swing. It's very strong. The move is parabolic. There's a spike out of major levels, and then there is an impulse leg.
Weigh that against the price action I described the last time I seen the same setup on GBBPJPY running into Brexit. The market followed that same template of price movements, and then came down in spectacular fashion.
This is where our main opportunity is, and this is where it seem the smart way to be betting is at this time. If the lows made here are taken out, we can look for positions around 125 to load up for this (a spike out and rally is still valid).
In the immediate term, we can just buy dips. Use tight stops and get high RR if it runs up, have very small losses to the downside. A correction from 130.20 to 128.50 gives us a great buying opportunity to get started in this move (buying over 130 but under 130.60 I think is a bad trade. Better to wait)
If we can establish a good buy position and see a ping swing move (which would be 2,000 pips - and GBPJPY can do this without many pullbacks, it's wild) the profit potential on this is enormous. Very small risks can be taken for extreme profits on the other end. If we do this and make good profits in the run up to that, we can then use a portion of these profits to position aggressively on the 61.8 spike out, and maybe have big positions in a decade long breakout to the downside in GBPJPY.
Whether or not there is a spike out low, when buying our first target is 145.00. This is either buying from 128.50 or 125 if that trade does not work out.
It would be very dangerous to sell if there is a spike out low into 125. Selling here could be brutal in the whip against you (as could selling in the leg we have but not getting out quick). For some perspective on this, GBPJPY went from 145 to 160 in only a couple strong trading days the last time we had conditions similar to this. The possibility of this, makes it a bad time to be a seller - horrible time to be a stubborn one.
No buys 130 - 130.50. Possible buys if there is a break of this.
Sells possible in this area, but risky. Not great RR. I'd not bother.
Buy level 1 - 128.50. 143 could be swing target here.
128 major bear break area. Danger of fast move here. Cut buys.
125 if met in spike, big buying area. Target 143 and stop 123 (tighter with price action).
145 first major upside resis. If we break this, 155.
Absolutely no selling into parabolic moves on GBPJPY at levels not mentioned here, isn't worth it.
The Lion King is a 2019 American photorealistic computer-animated musical drama film directed and produced by Jon Favreau, with a screenplay written by Jeff Nathanson, and produced by Walt Disney Pictures. It's a photorealistic computer-animated remake of Disney's traditionally animated 1994 film of the same name. The movie stars the voices of Donald Glover, Seth Rogen, Chiwetel Ejiofor, Alfre Woodard, Billy Eichner, John Kani, John Oliver and Beyoncé Knowles-Carter, in addition to James Earl Jones reprising his authentic position as Mufasa.submitted by Red-its to worldAds [link] [comments]
Plans for a remake of The Lion King have been confirmed in September 2016 following the success of the studio's The Jungle Book, additionally directed by Favreau. A lot of the principle forged signed in early 2017 and principal production started in mid-2017 on a blue screen stage in Los Angeles.
The movie is scheduled to be theatrically launched in America on July 19, 2019. It obtained blended evaluations, with the reward for its visible results and vocal performances, whereas receiving criticism for being extremely spinoff of the unique and the dearth of emoting within the animated lion characters relative to the unique.
Disney’s upcoming movie journeys to the African savanna the place a future king is born. Simba idolizes his father, King Mufasa, and takes to coronary heart his personal royal future. However, not everybody within the kingdom celebrates the brand new cub’s arrival. Scar, Mufasa’s brother—and former inheritor to the throne—has plans of his personal. The battle for Satisfaction Rock is ravaged with betrayal, tragedy and drama, finally leading to Simba’s exile. With an assist from a curious pair of newfound pals, Simba must determine to find out how to develop up and take again what's rightfully his.
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Voice forgedForemost article: List of The Lion King characters
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Moreover, Penny Johnson Jerald voices Sarafina, Nala's mom. Amy Sedaris, Chance the Rapper and Josh McCrary voice a guinea fowl, a bush baby, and an elephant shrew, respectively, Timon and Pumbaa's neighbours within the jungle. Phil LaMarr voices an impala, whereas J. Lee voices a hyena.
GrowthOn September 28, 2016, Walt Disney Pictures confirmed that Jon Favreau can be directing a remake of the 1994 animated movie The Lion King, which might characteristic the songs from the 1994 movie, following a string of latest field workplace successes on the opposite Disney live-action remake movies comparable to Maleficent), Cinderella), Favreau's The Jungle Book) and Beauty and the Beast), with the latter three additionally incomes important reward.#citenote-15) On October 13, 2016, it was reported that Disney had employed Jeff Nathanson to write down the screenplay for the remake,[](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Lion_King(2019film)#cite_note-16) with the story written by Brenda Chapman, who was the unique movie's head of story.[](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Lion_King(2019_film)#cite_note-LionKingEverythingKnow-17)
In November, speaking with ComingSoon.net, Favreau mentioned the digital cinematography expertise he utilized in The Jungle Ebook can be used to a larger diploma in The Lion King.#citenote-18) Though the media reported The Lion King to be a live-action movie, it really makes use of photorealistic computer-generated animation. Disney additionally didn't describe it as live-action, solely stating it could comply with the "technologically groundbreaking" strategy of The Jungle Ebook.[](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Lion_King(2019film)#cite_note-19) Whereas the movie acts as a remake of the 1994 animated movie, Favreau was impressed by the Broadway adaptation) of the movie for certain points of the remake's plot, notably Nala and Sarabi's roles.[](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Lion_King(2019film)#cite_note-20) Favreau additionally aimed to develop his personal tackle the unique movie's story with what he mentioned was "the spectacle of a BBC wildlife documentary".[](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Lion_King(2019_film)#cite_note-FavreauVideoGame-21)
This serves as the ultimate credit score for movie editor Mark Livolsi, who died in September 2018.#citenote-22) The movie is devoted to him.[](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Lion_King(2019_film)#cite_note-PressKit-1)
CastingIn mid-February 2017, Donald Glover was forged as Simba, with James Earl Jones reprising his position as Mufasa from the 1994 movie.#citenote-23) In April 2017, Billy Eichner and Seth Rogen have been forged to play Timon and Pumbaa respectively.[](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Lion_King(2019film)#cite_note-24) In July 2017, John Oliver was forged as Zazu.[](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Lion_King(2019film)#cite_note-OliverCast-25) In August 2017, Alfre Woodard and John Kani have been introduced to play Sarabi and Rafiki), respectively.[](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Lion_King(2019film)#cite_note-26)[](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Lion_King(2019_film)#cite_note-27)
Earlier in March 2017, it was introduced that Beyoncé was Favreau's best choice for the position of Nala) and that the director and studio can be keen to do no matter it took to accommodate her busy schedule.#citenote-28) In a while November 1, 2017, her position was confirmed in an official announcement,[](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Lion_King(2019film)#cite_note-29)[](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Lion_King(2019film)#cite_note-30) which additionally confirmed that Chiwetel Ejiofor would play the position of Scar), and introduced that Eric Andre, Florence Kasumba, and Keegan-Michael Key would be the voices of Azizi, Shenzi and Kamari whereas JD McCrary and Shahadi Wright Joseph would be the voices of younger Simba and younger Nala, respectively.[](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Lion_King(2019film)#cite_note-31)[](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Lion_King(2019film)#cite_note-32)[](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Lion_King(2019film)#cite_note-33)[](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Lion_King(2019film)#cite_note-34)[](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Lion_King(2019film)#cite_note-35) In November 2018, Amy Sedaris was introduced as having been forged in a task created for the movie.[](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Lion_King(2019_film)#cite_note-36)
Visible resultsThe Moving Picture Company, the lead vendor on The Jungle Ebook, will present the visible results and so they'll be supervised by Robert Legato, Elliot Newman and Adam Valdez.#citenote-37) The movie will make the most of "virtual-reality instruments", per Visible Results Supervisor Rob Legato.[](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Lion_King(2019film)#cite_note-LionKingD23-38) Digital Manufacturing Supervisor Girish Balakrishnan mentioned on his skilled web site that the filmmakers used motion capture and VR/applied sciences,[](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Lion_King(2019film)#cite_note-:1-39) with the manufacturing crew combining VR expertise with cameras so as to movie the remake in a VR-simulated environment.[](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Lion_King(2019_film)#cite_note-FavreauVideoGame-21) Sean Bailey, Disney's President of Manufacturing, referred to as the movie's visible results "a brand new type of filmmaking", and felt that "Historic definitions do not work", stating that "[it] makes use of some methods that will historically be referred to as animation, and different methods that will historically be referred to as live-action. It's an evolution of the expertise Jon [Favreau] utilized in Jungle Ebook".
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MusicForemost article: The Lion King (2019 soundtrack))
Hans Zimmer, who composed the 1994 animated model, would return to compose the rating for the remake.#citenote-41) Elton John additionally returned to transform his musical compositions from the unique movie earlier than his retirement,[](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Lion_King(2019film)#cite_note-42) with Beyoncé aiding John within the remodelling of the soundtrack.[](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Lion_King(2019film)#cite_note-43) John, the unique movie's lyricist, Tim Rice, and Beyoncé additionally created a brand new track for the movie,[](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Lion_King(2019film)#cite_note-44) titled "Spirit)" and carried out by Beyoncé, which was launched on July 9, 2019, because of the lead single from the soundtrack.[](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Lion_King(2019film)#cite_note-TheGift-45) John and Rice additionally wrote a brand new track for the movie's finish credit, titled "By no means Too Late" and carried out by John.[](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Lion_King(2019film)#cite_note-Soundtrack-46) The movie additionally options all of the songs from the unique movie, a canopy of The Token's "The Lion Sleeps Tonight", and the track "He Lives in You" from Rhythm of the Satisfaction Lands and the Broadway manufacturing.[](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Lion_King(2019film)#cite_note-Soundtrack-46)The soundtrack, that includes Zimmer's rating and John and Rice's songs, was launched digitally on July 11, 2019, and will likely be bodily on July 19, 2019.[](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Lion_King(2019_film)#cite_note-Soundtrack-46)
Beyoncé additionally produced and curated an album titled The Lion King: The Gift, which can characteristic "Spirit", in addition to songs impressed by the movie. The album is about to be launched on July 19, 2019.#cite_note-TheGift-45)
AdvertisingThe primary teaser trailer and the official teaser poster for The Lion King debuted throughout the annual Dallas Cowboys' Thanksgiving day came on November 22, 2018.#citenote-EWTeaser-47)[](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Lion_King(2019film)#cite_note-VarietyTeaser-48) The trailer was seen 224.6 million occasions in its first 24 hours, turning into the then 2nd most viewed trailer in that time period.[](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Lion_King(2019film)#cite_note-TrailerViews-49) A particular sneak peek that includes John Kani's voice as Rafiki) and a brand new poster have been launched in the course of the 91st Academy Awards on February 24, 2019.[](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Lion_King(2019film)#cite_note-50) On April 10, 2019, Disney launched the official trailer that includes new footage which revealed Scar), Zazu, Simba and Nala) (each as cubs and as adults), Sarabi, Rafiki), Timon and Pumbaa and the hyenas.[](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Lion_King(2019film)#cite_note-51) The trailer was seen 174 million occasions in its first 24 hours, which was revealed on Disney's Investor Day 2019 Webcast.[](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Lion_King(2019film)#cite_note-52) On Could 30, 2019, 11 particular person character posters have been launched.[](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Lion_King(2019film)#cite_note-53) A particular sneak peek that includes Beyoncé, Billy Eichner, and Seth Rogen's voices as Nala), Timon, and Puma respectively, was launched on June 3, 2019.[](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Lion_King(2019film)#cite_note-54) A particular sneak peek that includes Beyoncé and Donald Glover's voices as Simba and Nana singing) "Can You Feel the Love Tonight" and in addition that includes James Earl Jones' voice as Mufasa, was launched on June 20, 2019.[](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Lion_King(2019film)#cite_note-55) On July 2, 2019, Disney launched an intensive behind-the-scenes featurette detailing the varied points of the movie's manufacturing together with seven publicity stills that include the voice actors going through their animal counterparts.[](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Lion_King(2019_film)#cite_note-56)
Shot-for-shot declareThe trailers of the movie led to a declaration of its being a shot-for-shot remake of Disney's 1994 movie. On December 23, 2018, Sean Bailey, Disney's President of Manufacturing, mentioned that whereas the movie will "revere and love these elements that the viewers desires", there will likely be "issues within the film which might be going to be new".#citenote-ScreenRant-40) On April 18, 2019, Favreau acknowledged that "some photographs within the 1994 animated movie are so iconic" he could not presumably change them, however "regardless of what the trailers counsel, this movie isn't just the identical film over once more",[](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Lion_King(2019film)#cite_note-57) and later mentioned "it is for much longer than the unique movie. And a part of what we're doing right here is to (give it extra dimension) not simply visually however each story smart and emotionally."[](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Lion_King(2019film)#cite_note-58) On Could 30, 2019, Favreau mentioned that a number of the humour and characterizations are being altered to be extra according to the remainder of the movie,[](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Lion_King(2019film)#cite_note-59) and this remake is making some adjustments in sure scenes from the unique movie, in addition to in its construction.[](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Lion_King(2019film)#cite_note-FavreauVideoGame-21)On June 14, 2019, Favreau mentioned that, whereas the unique movie's fundamental plot factors will stay unchanged within the remake, the movie will largely diverge from the unique model, and hinted that the Elephant Graveyard, the hyenas' lair within the authentic movie, will likely be changed by a brand new location.[](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Lion_King(2019film)#cite_note-DirectorHyenas-13) On July 5, 2019, the movie was revealed to have a 118 minutes period, making it roughly 30 minutes longer than the unique movie.[](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Lion_King(2019_film)#cite_note-60)
LaunchThe Lion King premiered in Hollywood on July 9, 2019.#citenote-61) The movie is scheduled to be theatrically launched in America on July 19, 2019.[](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Lion_King(2019film)#cite_note-62) It will likely be one of many first theatrical movies to be launched on Disney+, alongside Aladdin), Toy Story 4, Frozen 2, Captain Marvel), and Avengers: Endgame.[](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Lion_King(2019_film)#cite_note-63)
The movie started its worldwide rollout per week earlier than its home launch, beginning with July 12 in China.#cite_note-ChinaPreview-64)
Field workplaceStarting on June 24, 2019 (which marked the 25th anniversary of the discharge of the unique movie), in its first 24 hours of pre-sales, The Lion King grew to become the second-best pre-seller of 2019 on Fandango) in that body (behind Avengers: Endgame), whereas Atom Tickets reported it gave their best-ever first-day gross sales for a household movie.#citenote-Presales_record-65) Three weeks previous to its launch, business monitoring projected the movie would gross $150–170 million in its home opening weekend.[](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Lion_King(2019film)#cite_note-66)[](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Lion_King(2019_film)#cite_note-67)
In China, the place it launched per week previous to the U.S., the movie was projected to debut to $50–60 million.#citenote-ChinaPreview-64) It ended up opening to $54.7 million, beating the debuts of The Jungle Ebook and Magnificence and the Beast.[](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Lion_King(2019_film)#cite_note-68)
Vital responseOn review aggregator web site Rotten Tomatoes, the movie holds an approval ranking of 59% based mostly on 123 evaluations, and an average rating of 6.45/10. The web site's important consensus reads, "Although it may take satisfaction in its visible achievements, this reimagined The Lion King is a by the numbers retelling that lacks the power and coronary heart that made the unique so beloved – although for some followers that will simply be sufficient."#citenote-69) Metacritic gave the movie a weighted common rating of 57 out of 100 based mostly on 38 critics, indicating "blended or common evaluations".[](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Lion_King(2019_film)#cite_note-70)
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Kenneth Turan on the Los Angeles Times referred to like the movie "polished, satisfying leisure."#citenote-71) Todd McCarthy at The Hollywood Reporter thought-about it to be inferior to the unique, noting, "The movie's aesthetic warning and predictability start to put on down on your entire enterprise within the second half."[](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Lion_King(2019film)#cite_note-72) At The Guardian, Peter Bradshaw discovered the movie "watchable and pleasing. However, I missed the simplicity and vividness of the unique hand-drawn pictures."[](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Lion_King(2019_film)#cite_note-73)
A. A. Dowd, writing for The A.V. Club, summarized the movie as "Joyless, artless, and perhaps soulless, it transforms some of the putting titles from the Mouse Home vault into a really costly, star-studded Disneynature movie." Dowd bemoaned the movie's insistence on realism, commenting, "We're watching a hole bastardization of a blockbuster, without delay fully reliant on the viewers' pre-established affection for its predecessor and unusually decided to jettison a lot of what made it particular."#citenote-74) Scott Mendelson at Forces condemned the movie as a "crushing disappointment": "At nearly each flip, this redo undercuts its personal melodrama by downplaying its personal feelings."[](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Lion_King(2019film)#cite_note-75) David Ehrlich of IndieWire panned the movie, writing, "Unfolding just like the world's longest and least convincing deep fake, Jon Favreau's (nearly) photorealistic remake of The Lion King is supposed to characterize the following step in Disney's circle of life. As an alternative, this soulless chimera of a movie comes off as little greater than a glorified tech demo from a grasping conglomerate — a well-rendered however creatively bankrupt self-portrait of a film studio consuming its personal tail."[](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Lion_King(2019_film)#cite_note-76)
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